NFL Mock Draft 3.0

While there is still lots of time until Roger puts the Bengals on the clock, here is how FOG thinks things look as of now and some justifications for those thoughts.

TeamSelection (Position)CollegeHeightWeightWhy?
1. Cincinnati BengalsJoe Burrow (QB)LSU6’4″216 lbsHeisman winner Joe Burraeux is the obvious pick here for Zac Taylor and Cincinnati’s future

Bottom Line: Joe Burrow is the face of the Bengals
2. Washington RedskinsChase Young (EDGE)Ohio St.6’5″265 lbsYoung is an edge rusher built in a lab, on steroids. I expect him to wreak havoc on opposing quarterbacks in the nations capital for many years

Bottom Line: He is going to be a BAD BAD man in DC. Automatic DROY favorite
3. Detroit LionsJeffrey Okudah (CB)Ohio St.6’1″200 lbsElite cover corner off the edge to replace Darius Slay, given he leaves via free agency for $. Okudah is the prototypical corner of this class that will help Patricia’s DB dependent scheme

Bottom Line: The Lions could trade back to a QB needy team, but if not, they will take Okudah to replace Slay
4. New York GiantsIsaiah Simmons (PLAYMAKER)Clemson6’4″230 lbsThe draft gets interesting here. Many expect Gettleman to go OT here, but I really don’t think the value at 4 overall matches at OT without a clear #1 (Thomas, Becton, Wills, Wirfs) to protect Jones. Instead, Gettleman always talks about picking HOF guys, and no one exhibits that level of raw ability more than Simmons. He can drop back and cover skill positions at safety while also being a relentless force in the pass rush and run game as a linebacker. Off the field, Simmons will be able to change the culture, almost like Jamal Adams is in the process of doing for NYJ

Bottom Line: Gettleman gets FOG favorite Simmons, #2 player on our board, at 4. His dynamic talent will give NYG a new base to build off of on defense for their future
5. Miami DolphinsTua Tagovailoa
(QB)
Alabama6’1″218 lbsMiami gets their franchise QB that they have been tied to for the past year, given the extensive health screenings and workouts go as planned. While he shouldn’t slide out of the top 10, I hold concern about the possibility that Alabama’s supporting cast was the real reason for his success. Tua has always reminded me of Russell Wilson, not only with his size and stature but with his solid throwing platform and his crisp ability to distribute the ball to all his different open teammates

Bottom Line: Tua’s medicals are the biggest story here, but should they check out fine, Miami will most likely invest their future here, even with Rosen in the fold for 2020
6. LA ChargersJustin Herbert
(QB)
Oregon 6’6″231 lbsHerbert has excellent size, arm talent and mobility. His floor is extremely high, but his ceiling may be more limited than other QBs in this class. In that sense, Tom Telesco selects Justin Herbert to fit in perfectly in LA, throwing beautiful arc balls in a brand new stadium. He is a stark contrast to Rivers’ recent play, with consistency characterizing a lot of his play. He projects as a highly productive QB at the next level

Bottom Line: In the wake of the departure of inconsistent Rivers, LA goes and gets themselves a low risk future at QB
7. Carolina PanthersMekhi Becton (OT)Louisville6’7″364 lbsThe Panthers new regime have begun to evaluate their roster from an outsiders perspective. Therefore, from an outsiders perspective, they need a lot of help on the O-line to create space for CMC. Bechton’s rise up the draft boards was rapid but justified, as his combination of size and speed is almost unheard of, he ran great at the combine. He looks to be the first OT off the board here to Carolina

Bottom Line: I think if Simmons is still here they have to take him to replace Kuechly, but he’s not, so Rhule invests in their favorite OT to give CMC more space to run.
8. Arizona CardinalsJedrick Wills (OT)Alabama6’5″320 lbsWhile Cee Dee would be sexy in AZ, I don’t think Kyler and Kliff can convince Keim to reach that far in such a rich receiving class. Instead, they invest more in Kyler by protecting him. Wills adds an immediate boost to the tackle position, his base is so strong but he also moves very well laterally and to the second level. Never on the ground, very dependent for Kyler

Bottom Line: Keim reinvests in his prior investment, by providing Kyler with even more security and space to roam in selecting Tua’s former protector.
9. Jacksonville JaguarsAndrew Thomas (OT)UGA6’5″315 lbsJacksonville should be hoping Simmons is somehow still on the board. If not I can see them trying to add to their O-line, as they found a good connection in Minshew-Chark last season. Thomas is an extremely big and powerful pass blocker that has low risk at the next level

Bottom Line: Jags get best tackle available to help provide themselves a more accurate evaluation of Minshew’s talent
10. Cleveland BrownsTristan Wirfs (OT)Iowa6’4″320 lbsCleveland needs another OL, and they will look no further than Wirfs. He had a great combine and while some scouts would like to see him at guard, I think his value to CLE here is too much to pass up.

Bottom Line: Wirfs to Cleveland to give Baker more time to progress in the pocket
11. New York JetsJerry Jeudy (WR)Alabama6’1″193 lbsIf this is how the draft plays, Joe Douglas will have a massive decision on his hands. With all the premier pass protectors gone, Jeudy is a safe and sexy pick in Douglas first draft. Jeudy is an extremely smooth route runner with elite twitch and provides the Jets with their WR1 of the future to grow with Darnold

Bottom Line: Because the OTs are gone, Douglas chooses Jeudy between the two receivers, but either would provide immediate help for Sam and the offense’s development
12. Las Vegas RaidersCee Dee Lamb (WR)Oklahoma6’2″189 lbsGruden and Mayock have to be thirsty for an offensive playmaker other than Josh Jacobs after the Antonio Brown’s debacle. Lamb is an elite receiver with superb abilities after the catch that can help Derek Carr have success in Vegas

Bottom Line: Raiders replace AB with Cee Dee in Vegas
13. Indianapolis ColtsHenry Ruggs III (WR)Alabama6’0″183 lbsBallard is maybe hoping to land Lamb here, but Ruggs III is a prolific WR3 in this very deep class. Their defense is very solid and I think it gets even better in FA, which allows Ballard to give Brissett another elite option on the outside. In turn, if Jacoby can’t win with Ruggs III, TY, Mack and the rest of that team, Ballard is put in a much easier position in terms of evaluating for the future.

Bottom Line: Chris Ballard drafts the next Tyreek Hill at 13 to pair with T.Y., and makes his evaluation of Brissett more clear in the process
14. Tampa Bay BuccaneersJordan Love (QB)Utah State6’3″224 lbsNo QB has experienced more hype this process than Love. He had a bad senior season following the departure of immense talent and his HC and OC, but his flashes of Mahomes-esque-balls will make any QB needy team drool, especially Bruce Arians.

Bottom Line: BA loves the vertical passing game, and I think he is confident that he can sculpt Love into his potential as an elite downfield passing QB, replacing Jameis.
15. Denver BroncosDerrick Brown (DL)Auburn6’4″326 lbs
Denver has lost what made them great just a few years ago, and that was an elite secondary. C.J Henderson is an elite press corner with low risk, high reward type potential on the outside. Another product of UF’s physical defense, he just needs to work on his tackling

Bottom Line: Elway takes the best pure cover corner available in Henderson to help bring back the No Fly Zone in Denver
16. Atlanta FalconsA.J. Epenesa (EDGE)Iowa6’5″275 lbsA.J. entered the season as a sure top 10 pick, but he saw constant doubles from B10 foes, which lowered his production. Still, Epenesa has the same motor and body that he always had, and the end of his season’s production treated him well. Atlanta has lacked a true pass rusher with Vic Beasley’s own regression, so I think this pick makes the most sense for them in a division with elite offenses

Bottom Line: Atlanta goes low risk here with an immediate difference maker in their defensive pass rush
17. Dallas CowboysTrevon Diggs (CB)Alabama6’1″205 lbsAll the Dallas D is missing is a more secure secondary to go along with its impressive and young front seven. Adding the physical Diggs gives the Cowboys a new type of cover corner to go along with their plethora of young talent in their backend. 

Bottom Line: Diggs is the most physical corner in the draft, he will be great in this young and talented defense
18. Miami Dolphins (via PIT)Javon Kinlaw (DT)SCAR6’5″324 lbsFlores and Miami take the clear best player available in Kinlaw. He is a top 10 talent, as he combines ferocious push on the inside pass rush with violent hands and extremely fast timing out of his stance.

Bottom Line: He projects as a highly productive DT in the NFL, this shouldn’t be too hard of a choice if he’s still here at 18.
19. Las Vegas Raiders (via CHI)Kenneth Murray (LB)Oklahoma6’2″241 lbsBottom Line: After the Vontaze Burfict experiment, the Raiders need a consistent linebacker to add to their front seven. Murray gives them this option with good value at #19
20. Jacksonville Jaguars (via LAR)Xavier Mckinney (S)Alabama6’1″201 lbsBottom Line: In order to get back to the Jags defense of a few years ago, they need to replenish their playmakers in the secondary. Mckinney is a great combination of a heat seeking missile in the run game and impressive coverage in the passing game, a perfect fit of Doug Marrone’s defense
21. Philadelphia EaglesTee Higgins (WR)Clemson6’3″216 lbsTee Higgins has been making spectacular catches on big stages for years now for Clemson. Howie had to have taken notice, and I think he’s the guy to help Wentz stretch the field in 2020. Higgins has the best ball skills of anyone in this class, he should thrive in Philly and take over for Alshon.

Bottom Line: Howie Roseman knows how deep this WR class is, and he waits patiently for whichever receiver he may desire to fall to him at #21, and he is happy with the big play potential Higgins brings to Philly.
22. Buffalo BillsLaviska Shenault (WR)Colorado6’0″227 lbsBills need receivers, Laviska is one of the best athletes in the draft. He is the ultimate YAC receiver, once he catches the ball he turns into a running back.

Bottom Line: He brings risk with injuries, but overall provides Buffalo with a much needed productive and dependable athlete in the passing game for Josh Allen
23. New England PatriotsJustin Jefferson (WR)LSU6’1″202 lbsJustin Jefferson was unbelievable at LSU. His chemistry with Burrow was something special, and it was showcased again and again during the CFP. He should continue his elite ball tracking abilities into the NFL. An elite modern NFL receiver prospect.

Bottom Line: If not for the richest WR class in recent memory, Jefferson would be higher. Therefore, Bill gets a steal for whoever his QB is at 23.
24. New Orleans SaintsPatrick Queen (LB)LSU6’0″229 lbsQueen is a shooting missile at linebacker with great range across the line of scrimmage. While undersized, his ability to fill gaps in the run game is impressive. His quickness and instincts help him in the pass game. He should be an immediate starter in NOLA.

Bottom Line: NOLA needs one more linebacker to complete their defense, and I think Queen is a stud at the next level. He fills gaps
25. Minnesota VikingsCJ Henderson (CB)UF6’0″204 lbsZimmer would sprint to the podium with this card if he could. Adding CJ Henderson would add an elite cover corner to an already dangerous defense. There are questions about his tackling, but Zimmer can clean that up.

Bottom Line: Minnesota gets great value and solidifies their secondary to combat Aaron Rodgers twice a year
26. Miami Dolphins (via HOU)K’Lavon Chaisson (EDGE)LSU6’3″254 lbsThis pick was acquired in exchange for Laremy Tunsil, and while he is very productive, Chaisson provides a lot of potential off of the edge for Miami. As he tweeted himself, Chaisson is more than just a ferocious pass rusher, as he is able to make plays in the run and pass game from the linebacker position.

Bottom Line: The captain of LSU defense is a great value pick here for Flores and new Miami D
27. Seattle SeahawksJaylon Johnson (CB)Utah5’11”193 lbsHe is a little undersized, but played great coverage for Utah in his years in Salt Lake.

Bottom Line: Seattle needs corners, and he fills the need here with consistent coverage on the outside
28. Baltimore RavensYetur Gross-Matos (EDGE)PSU6’5″266 lbsA physical specimen out of Happy Valley that will contribute early and often in Baltimore. His frame can’t be taught, he just needs to improve his use of his hands in pass rush

Bottom Line: Baltimore might need to replace Judon, this is a good start
29. Tennessee TitansCurtis Weaver (EDGE)Boise St.6’2265 lbsWeaver had a great combine and productive last season in Boise, and he knew it was time to declare. He is rewarded here with a selection in the first round, as the Titans are in need of a polished pass rush threat

Bottom Line: Weaver gives the Titans their desperate need for another pass rusher off the EDGE
30. Green Bay PackersDenzel Mims (WR)Baylor6’3″207lbsMims has shot up boards following his 4.39 40 yard dash performance at the combine and a solid senior bowl as well. Bottom Line: While he is similar in style to Davante Adams, I think he adds another receiver that GB lacks on the outside that will produce big numbers in Aaron Rodgers’ offense. Highly explosive pick here
31. San Fransisco 49ersKristan Fulton (CB)LSU5’11”197 lbsWhile I have maintained my stance that Fulton is overrated, this value is fine for him. He is a little undersized and I believe he benefited from such a talented defense around him. However, he still posses great talent on the outside that should translate to the next level

Bottom Line:
John Lynch snags a former top prospect at 31 to solidify his secondary even more than it is. No team can have enough corners in today’s NFL
32. Kansas City ChiefsAJ Terrell (CB)Clemson6’1″195 lbsDecent size for an NFL corner and a very productive resume out of college. Had a rough national title game against LSU, but his overall man to man skill set translates perfectly to the NFL’s modern day need for corners.

Bottom Line: The defending champs won with a relative absence of talent from their corner position. Here they add an established, productive corner at the end of round 1